Black Republicans

Black voter turnout could be the swing factor in November

Deborah Charles
July 17, 2012

“High voter turnout among African Americans helped get President Barack Obama elected in 2008 but a black rights group fears even a small drop in turnout in the November election might cause him to lose or struggle in several key states. 

“Leaders of the National Urban League, a civil rights group, released a report on Tuesday that said although blacks voted overwhelmingly for the Democrat in 2008, if the number of African American voters drops even 5 percentage points this year it could tip the outcome in some vital states.

“If that voter turnout rate returned to the 2004 election levels – 60 percent compared with nearly 65 percent in 2008 – the report estimated that Obama, the nation’s first black president, would lose in North Carolina and would have a tough time in Ohio and Virginia.

“‘We wanted to point out that turnout makes a difference,’ said Marc Morial, president of the National Urban League. ‘And that African American turnout particularly, in a number of states, could make the ultimate difference’…

“A USA TODAY/Gallup poll of 12 swing states – including North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia – on July 8 showed the pair essentially tied as Obama had a narrow 2-point lead…

“‘That’s just an amazing high water mark for democracy,’ she said. ‘Armed with that information we’re in a strong position to tell each and every African American voter: ‘Your vote does matter’…”

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