Excerpts from The Hill

By Ramsey Cox

December 19, 2011

“President Obama will be a one-term president, said nearly half of registered voters polled by The Hill.

“While 46 percent of likely voters predicted Obama will lose next year, 41 percent said he will win, a narrow margin just outside the poll’s margin of error that reflects the public’s split opinion about the president. The remaining 13 percent were unsure.

“When it comes to grading his first term, 51 percent of polled voters said Obama was either a failure (37 percent) or not very successful (14 percent)…

“77 percent of Republicans said there will be no second term for Obama…

“But that scenario looks unlikely, as a majority (54 percent) of independents think his first-term performance has been unsuccessful (18 percent said it has not been very successful and 36 percent said it has been a failure).

“Obama’s low approval numbers in polls have often been attributed to the terrible economy and lack of promised growth, and voters in the poll confirmed that they look to the president for leadership on that score.

“An overwhelming 92 percent of likely voters said the choice of president is important in determining the country’s economic strength…

“Three-fourths of those earning less than $20,000 per year said the choice of president is ‘very important’ to economic strength and 67 percent of those earning more than $100,000 agreed. But only 55 percent of those earning between $75,000 and $100,000 said the same.

“That probably won’t help Obama, whose campaign has been going after middle-class voters by painting Republicans as a party out to destroy the middle class.

“The youngest demographic was split on whether Obama will get a second term, with 45 percent saying he will not and 45 percent saying he will. In 2008, Obama greatly relied on the support of young people — a group whose voting turnout had been inconsistent in the past…”

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