Research

Romney Gains As Obama Falls In The Polls

Nationally, Romney Leads Obama Among Likely Voters 51-45 Percent. (Gallup, Accessed 10/19/12)

In The Swing States, Romney Continues His Debate Momentum

Politico/George Washington University Poll: Romney And Obama Are In “Statistical Tie” Among Battleground Voters.  “Mitt Romney is finally getting his Sally Field moment: They like him. At least more than they used to. President Barack Obama clings to a 1-point national lead in a head-to-head matchup with the GOP nominee, but the first presidential debate has significantly improved Romney’s personal image. A new POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Poll of likely voters puts Obama ahead of Romney 49 percent to 48 percent, a statistical tie and the same as the week before.”(James Hohmann, “Battleground Poll: Mitt More Likeable,” Politico, 10/15/12)

Among Those “Extremely Likely To Vote” Romney Leads Obama 51 To 47 Percent. “A Republican enthusiasm edge that has opened up in the six weeks since the conventions continues to boost Romney. Among those who describe themselves as ‘extremely likely’ to vote, Romney leads Obama 51 to 47 percent.”(James Hohmann, “Battleground Poll: Mitt More Likeable,” Politico, 10/15/12)

  • “Across The Ten States Identified By POLITICO As Competitive, Romney Leads 50 To 48 Percent.”(James Hohmann, “Battleground Poll: Mitt More Likeable,” Politico, 10/15/12)
     
  • “Romney Leads By 8 Points Among Independents, 49 Percent To 41 Percent.” (James Hohmann, “Battleground Poll: Mitt More Likeable,” Politico, 10/15/12)

Obama’s Lead Over Romney On Handling Foreign Policy Has Dropped 11 Points Since August. “Obama has largely squandered his advantage on national security. Just 48 percent approve of the president’s handling of foreign policy, compared to 46 percent who disapprove. The president had a 13-point spread in May between the percentage who approved and disapproved. More respondents now strongly disapprove of the president’s handling of events overseas than strongly approve. Pitted against Romney, Obama only has a 4-point edge on who will better handle foreign policy. In August, Obama had a 15-point advantage over his opponent.”(James Hohmann, “Battleground Poll: Mitt More Likeable,” Politico, 10/15/12)

51 Percent Of Battleground State Voters Disapprove Of Obama’s Handling Of The Economy. “Numbers released the Friday before last showed the unemployment rate falling to 7.8 percent, but this good news generated little discernible movement in Obama’s direction. A slight majority, 51 percent, disapprove of Obama’s handling of the economy.” (James Hohmann, “Battleground Poll: Mitt More Likeable,” Politico, 10/15/12)

56 Percent Of Battleground State Voters Disapprove Of Obama’s Handling Of The Federal Budget Deficit And Spending, While 40 Percent Approve.  (Politico/George Washington University Poll, 1000 RV, MoE 3.1%, 10/7-11/12)

54 Percent Of Battleground State Voters Think Romney Would Do A Better Job Handling The Federal Budget Deficit And Spending, While 42 Percent Think Obama Would. (Politico/George Washington University Poll, 1000 RV, MoE 3.1%, 10/7-11/12)

48 Percent Of Battleground State Voters Think Romney Would Do A Better Job Of Getting Things Done, While 45 Percent Think Obama Would. (Politico/George Washington University Poll, 1000 RV, MoE 3.1%, 10/7-11/12)

“Romney Leads By 3 Points On Which Of The Two Candidates Would Better Handle The Economy And By 2 Points On Who Can Create More Jobs.” (James Hohmann, “Battleground Poll: Mitt More Likeable,” Politico, 10/15/12)

Florida

CNN/ORC Poll: Romney Leads Obama 49-48 Percent In Florida. (CNN/ORC, 681 LV, MoE 4%, 10/17-10/18/12)

Rasmussen Reports: Romney Leads Obama 51-46 Percent In Florida. (Rasmussen Reports, 750 LV, MoE 4%, 10/18/12)

Gravis Marketing: Romney Leads Obama 49-48 Percent In Florida. (Gravis Marketing, 617 LV, MoE 4%, 10/13-10/14/12)

  • Romney Leads Obama 47-44 Percent Among Florida Independent Voters. (Gravis Marketing, 617 LV, MoE 4%, 10/13-10/14/12)

Public Policy Polling: Romney Leads Obama 49-48 Percent In Florida. (Public Policy Polling, 791 LV, MoE 3.4%, 10/12-10/14/12)

  • Romney Leads Obama 51-43 Percent Among Florida Independent Voters. (Public Policy Polling, 791 LV, MoE 3.4%, 10/12-10/14/12)

51 Percent Of Florida Voters Trust Romney On The Economy, While 46 Percent Trust Obama. (Public Policy Polling, 791 LV, MoE 3.4%, 10/12-10/14/12)

  • 54 Percent Of Florida Independent Voters Trust Romney On The Economy, While 42 Percent Trust Obama. (Public Policy Polling, 791 LV, MoE 3.4%, 10/12-10/14/12)

50 Percent Of Florida Voters Disapprove Of President Obama’s Job Performance, While 48 Percent Approve. (Public Policy Polling, 791 LV, MoE 3.4%, 10/12-10/14/12)

  • 53 Percent Of Florida Independent Voters Disapprove Of President Obama’s Job Performance, While 46 Percent Approve. (Public Policy Polling, 791 LV, MoE 3.4%, 10/12-10/14/12)

Virginia

Rasmussen Reports: Romney Leads Obama 50-47 Percent In Virginia. (Rasmussen Reports, 750 LV, MoE 4%, 10/18/12)

American Research Group Poll: Romney Leads Obama 48-47 Percent In Virginia. (American Research Group, 600 LV, MoE 4%, 10/12-10/14/12)

  • Romney Leads Obama 52-40 Percent Among Virginia Independent Voters. (American Research Group, 600 LV, MoE 4%, 10/12-10/14/12)

Pennsylvania

Susquehanna Poll: Romney Leads Obama 49-45 Percent In Pennsylvania.  (Susquehanna Poll, 1376 LV, MoE 2.64%, 10/11-10/13/12)

  • Susquehanna Poll: Romney Leads Obama 47-35 Percent Among Pennsylvania Independent Voters. (Susquehanna Poll, 1376 LV, MoE 2.64%, 10/11-10/13/12)

New Hampshire

Public Policy Polling: Romney Leads Obama 49-48 Percent In New Hampshire. (Public Policy Polling, 1036 LV, MoE 3.0%, 10/17-10/19/12)

52 Percent Of New Hampshire Voters Trust Romney More On The Economy, While 45 Percent Trust Obama. (Public Policy Polling, 1036 LV, MoE 3.0%, 10/17-10/19/12)

  • 49 Percent Of New Hampshire Independent Voters Trust Romney More On The Economy, While 46 Percent Trust Obama. (Public Policy Polling, 1036 LV, MoE 3.0%, 10/17-10/19/12)

51 Percent Of New Hampshire Voters Disapprove Of President Obama’s Job Performance, While 47 Percent Approve. (Public Policy Polling, 1036 LV, MoE 3.0%, 10/17-10/19/12)

Suffolk University Poll: 45 Percent Of New Hampshire Voters Think Romney Has The Best Plan To Fix The Economy, While 42 Percent Think Obama Does. (Suffolk University Poll, 500 LV, MoE 4.4%, 10/12-10/14/12)

Iowa

Public Policy Polling: Romney Leads Obama 49-48 Percent In Iowa. (Public Policy Polling, 869 LV, MoE 3.3%, 10/17-10/19/12)

49 Percent Of Iowa Voters Trust Romney On The Economy, While 45 Percent Trust Obama. (Public Policy Polling, 869 LV, MoE 3.3%, 10/17-10/19/12)

  • 45 Percent Of Iowa Independent Voters Trust Romney On The Economy, While 39 Percent Trust Obama. (Public Policy Polling, 869 LV, MoE 3.3%, 10/17-10/19/12)

50 Percent Of Iowa Voters Disapprove Of President Obama’s Job Performance, While 46 Percent Approve. (Public Policy Polling, 869 LV, MoE 3.3%, 10/17-10/19/12)

  • 46 Percent Of Iowa Independent Voters Disapprove Of President Obama’s Job Performance, While 44 Percent Approve.  (Public Policy Polling, 869 LV, MoE 3.3%, 10/17-10/19/12)
     
  • 49 Percent Of Iowa Female Voters Disapprove Of President Obama’s Job Performance While 48 Percent Approve. (Public Policy Polling, 869 LV, MoE 3.3%, 10/17-10/19/12)

North Carolina

Rasmussen Reports: Romney Leads Obama 52-46 Percent In North Carolina. (Rasmussen Reports, 500 LV, MoE 4.5%, 10/17/12)

Public Policy Polling: 48 Percent Of North Carolina Voters Trust Romney More On The Economy, While 47 Percent Trust Obama. (Public Policy Polling, 1084 LV, MoE 3%, 10/12-10/14/12)

  • 50 Percent Of North Carolina Independent Voters Trust Romney More On The Economy, While 43 Percent Trust Obama. (Public Policy Polling, 1084 LV, MoE 3%, 10/12-10/14/12)

50 Percent Of North Carolina Voters Disapprove Of President Obama’s Job Performance, While 48 Percent Approve. (Public Policy Polling, 1084 LV, MoE 3%, 10/12-10/14/12)

  • 57 Percent Of North Carolina Independent Voters Disapprove Of President Obama’s Job Performance, While 39 Percent Approve. (Public Policy Polling, 1084 LV, MoE 3%, 10/12-10/14/12)

Ohio

SurveyUSA Poll: 47 Percent Of Ohio Voters Think Romney Would Do Better At Balancing The Federal Budget, While 40 Percent Think Obama Would. (SurveyUSA, 613 LV, MoE 4%, 10/12-10/15/12)

  • 52 Percent Of Ohio Independent Voters Think Romney Would Do Better At Balancing The Federal Budget, While 27 Percent Think Obama Would. (SurveyUSA, 613 LV, MoE 4%, 10/12-10/15/12)

45 Percent Of Ohio Voters Oppose ObamaCare, While 37 Percent Support It.  (SurveyUSA, 613 LV, MoE 4%, 10/12-10/15/12)

Wisconsin

Marquette University Poll: 50 Percent Of Likely Wisconsin Voters Think Romney Would Do A Better Job Of Handling The Economy, While 49 Percent Think Obama Would. (Marquette University Poll, 870 LV, MoE 3.4%, 10/11-10/14/12)

52 Percent Of Likely Wisconsin Voters Think Romney Would Do A Better Job Handling The Budget Deficit, While 45 Percent Think Obama Would. (Marquette University Poll, 870 LV, MoE 3.4%, 10/11-10/14/12)

51 Percent Of Likely Wisconsin Voters Say They Are Not Better Off Than They Were Four years Ago, while 43 Percent Think They Are Better Off. (Marquette University Poll, 870 LV, MoE 3.4%, 10/11-10/14/12)

48 Percent Of Likely Wisconsin Voters Disapprove Of ObamaCare, While 45 Percent Approve. (Marquette University Poll, 870 LV, MoE 3.4%, 10/11-10/14/12)

NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll: 51 Percent Of Likely Wisconsin Voters Think The Country Is On The Wrong Track, While 45 Percent Think It Is Headed In The Right Direction. (NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll, 1013 LV, MoE 3.1%, 10/15-10/17/12)