ROMNEY IS GAINING GROUND NATIONALLY
National Polls Tipped Back In Favor Of Romney Over Obama 49-48 Percent. “ Overall, the national contest has tipped back to 49 percent for Republican Mitt Romney and 48 percent for President Obama.” (Jon Cohen, “Post-ABC Tracking Poll: Romney 49, Obama 48- The Power Of Campaign Contacts,” The Washington Post , 10/26/12)
- Romney Holds A 20-Point Advantage Among Political Independents. “Romney continues to hold the advantage when it comes to handling the economy, benefit from a campaign-high 60 percent support from white voters and has a bulging, 20-point advantage among political independents. Obama counters with 82 percent support from non-whites, and is buoyed because the electorate is four percentage points more Democratic than Republican. (The gap between the party’s is an even more slender two percentage points when looking at the party “leanings” of independents and other non-partisans.)” (Jon Cohen, “Post-ABC Tracking Poll: Romney 49, Obama 48- The Power Of Campaign Contacts,” The Washington Post , 10/26/12)
“Mitt Romney Has Seized Further Advantage On Economic Issues At The Core Of The 2012 Campaign, Taking Him To 50 Percent Support Among Likely Voters Vs. 47 Percent For Barack Obama – Romney’s Highest Vote-Preference Result Of The Contest To Date.” (Gary Langer, “Romney Hits The 50 Percent Mark, With A Clear Edge On The Economy,” ABC News, 10/25/12)
- ABC News/Washington Post Poll: Romney Has “Momentum” On The “Underlying Issues And Attributes.” “The difference between the two candidates is within the margin of sampling error in the latest ABC News/Washington Post daily tracking poll, and their individual support levels have not significantly changed. But the momentum on underlying issues and attributes is Romney’s.” (Gary Langer, “Romney Hits The 50 Percent Mark, With A Clear Edge On The Economy,” ABC News, 10/25/12)
Romney Is Favored By 52 Percent Of Likely Voters To Handle the Economy, While 43 Percent Favor Obama. Romney’s gains are clear especially in results on the economy. This poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates, finds that likely voters now pick Romney over Obama in trust to handle the economy by 52-43 percent – the first time either candidate has held a clear lead over the other on this central issue.” (Gary Langer, “Romney Hits The 50 Percent Mark, With A Clear Edge On The Economy,” ABC News, 10/25/12)
- “Equally Important, Romney Has Erased Obama’s Customary Advantage On Which Candidate Better Understands The Economic Problems Of Average Americans.” (Gary Langer, “Romney Hits The 50 Percent Mark, With A Clear Edge On The Economy,” ABC News, 10/25/12)
What Gender Gap?
Associated Press - GFK Poll: Romney Has Erased Obama’s 16 Point Advantage Among Women. “What gender gap? Less than two weeks out from Election Day, Republican Mitt Romney has erased President Barack Obama’s 16-point advantage among women, a new Associated Press-GfK poll shows. And the president, in turn, has largely eliminated Romney’s edge among men.” (Nancy Benac and Jennifer Agiesta, “AP-GFK Poll: Romney Edging Out Obama On Economy,” The Associated Press , 10/25/12)
- Women Voters Shifted Views To Favor Romney 49 Percent To Obama 45 Percent On The Economy. “A month ago, women favored Obama over Romney on the economy 56 percent to 40 percent. Now, the split has shifted to 49 percent for Romney and 45 percent for Obama.” (Nancy Benac and Jennifer Agiesta, “AP-GFK Poll: Romney Edging Out Obama On Economy,” The Associated Press , 10/25/12)
- “Obama’s Lead Among Women As The Candidate Who Better Understands The People’s Problems Has Narrowed Considerably, From A 58-36 Obama Advantage Last Month To A 50-43 Obama Edge Now.” (Nancy Benac and Jennifer Agiesta, “AP-GFK Poll: Romney Edging Out Obama On Economy,” The Associated Press , 10/25/12)
BATTLEGROUND STATE POLLS SHOW MOMENTUM FOR ROMNEY
Politico /George Washington Battleground Poll: Romney Is Leading Obama 49-47 Percent. “Mitt Romney has taken a narrow national lead, tightened the gender gap and expanded his edge over President Barack Obama on who would best grow the economy. A new POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll of 1,000 likely voters – taken from Sunday through Thursday of last week – shows Romney ahead of Obama by two points, 49 to 47 percent. That represents a three-point swing in the GOP nominee’s direction from a week ago but is still within the margin of error. Obama led 49 percent to 48 percent the week before. Romney has not led in the poll since the beginning of May. Across the 10 states identified by POLITICO as competitive, Romney leads 50 to 48 percent.” (James Hohmann, “Battleground Tracking Poll: Mitt Romney Takes Lead,” Politico, 10/22/12)
- Politico /George Washington Battleground Poll: Romney Holds An 8 Point Lead In Intensity Among His Supporters. “Two weeks from Election Day, the GOP nominee also continues to maintain a potentially pivotal advantage in intensity among his supporters. Seventy-two percent of those who support Obama say they are ‘extremely likely’ to vote, compared to 80 percent who back Romney. Among this group, Romney leads Obama by 7 points, 52 to 45 percent.” (James Hohmann, “Battleground Tracking Poll: Mitt Romney Takes Lead,” Politico, 10/22/12)
- Obama Has Lost 5 Points Among Women Voters, Holding Just A 6 Point Advantage Over Romney, While Romney Leads By 10 Points Among Men. “Women propelled Romney’s move into first place in the poll – a majority of which was conducted before the Hofstra debate. Obama’s 11-point advantage a week ago among the crucially important group dwindled to 6 points. The Democratic incumbent still leads 51 to 45 percent with women, but Romney leads by 10 points among men.” (James Hohmann, “Battleground Tracking Poll: Mitt Romney Takes Lead,” Politico, 10/22/12)
Politico /George Washington Battleground Poll: “Romney Also Doubled The Size Of His Advantage Over Obama On Which Candidate Would Better Handle The Economy.” (James Hohmann, “Battleground Tracking Poll: Mitt Romney Takes Lead,” Politico, 10/22/12)
- “This Week, 51 Percent Of Respondents Picked Romney And 45 Percent Chose Obama, Compared To 50 Percent For Romney And 47 Percent For Obama A Week Ago.” (James Hohmann, “Battleground Tracking Poll: Mitt Romney Takes Lead,” Politico, 10/22/12)
- “The Former Massachusetts Governor Also Leads By 4 Points, 50 To 46 Percent, On Who Will Create More Jobs.” (James Hohmann, “Battleground Tracking Poll: Mitt Romney Takes Lead,” Politico, 10/22/12)
- “Romney Widened His Lead To 15 Points On Which Candidate Would Better Handle The Federal Budget And Spending, Up From 12 Points A Week Ago.” (James Hohmann, “Battleground Tracking Poll: Mitt Romney Takes Lead,” Politico, 10/22/12)
“A Majority, 53 Percent, Disapprove Of Obama’s Handling Of The Economy, Compared To 45 Percent Who Approve. That 8-Point Spread Was Only 3 Points A Week Ago.” (James Hohmann, “Battleground Tracking Poll: Mitt Romney Takes Lead,” Politico, 10/22/12)
57 Percent Of Battleground State Voters Think The Country Has Gotten Off On The Wrong Track. “Despite some positive economic news, including the unemployment rate dropping to 7.8 percent in September, the percentage who say that the country has gotten off on the wrong track increased for the first time since the summer. It popped from 53 to 57 percent last week.” (James Hohmann, “Battleground Tracking Poll: Mitt Romney Takes Lead,” Politico, 10/22/12)
ROMNEY IS ADVANCING IN STATE POLLS
Florida
Rasmussen Reports: Romney Leads Obama 50-48 Percent In Florida. ( Rasmussen Reports , 750 LV, MoE 4%, 10/25/12)
Fox News Poll: Romney Leads Obama 48-45 Percent Among Likely Florida Voters. (Fox News Poll, 1130 LV, MoE 3%, 10/17-10/18/12)
- 50 Percent Of Florida Likely Voters Trust Romney To Improve The Economy And Create Jobs, While 43 Percent Trust Obama. (Fox News Poll, 1130 LV, MoE 3%, 10/17-10/18/12)
- 54 Percent Of Florida Likely Voters Trust Romney To Cut Government Spending, While 38 Percent Trust Obama. (Fox News Poll, 1130 LV, MoE 3%, 10/17-10/18/12)
Sunshine State News Poll: Romney Leads Obama 51-46 Percent In Florida. ( Sunshine State News Poll , 1001 LV, MoE 3.1%, 10/22-10/24/12)
Gravis Marketing: Romney Leads Obama 50-49 Percent In Florida. (Gravis Marketing, 1182 LV, MoE 2.8%, 10/24/12)
- 50 Percent Of Florida Voters Disapprove Of Obama’s Job Performance, While 44 Percent Approve. (Gravis Marketing, 1182 LV, MoE 2.8%, 10/24/12)
- 49 Percent Of Florida Voters Think The Country Is Headed In The Wrong Direction, While 43 Percent Think It Is On The Right Track. (Gravis Marketing, 1182 LV, MoE 2.8%, 10/24/12)
Virginia
U.VA-GMU Poll: Romney Leads Obama 46-45 Percent In Virginia. (U.VA-GMU Poll, 641 RV, MoE 4%, 10/24/12)
Fox News Poll: Romney Leads Obama 47-45 Percent Among Likely Virginia Voters. (Fox News Poll, 1126 LV, MoE 3%, 10/23-10/24/12)
- 50 Percent Of Virginia Voters Trust Romney To Improve The Economy And Create Jobs, While 44 Percent Trust Obama. (Fox News Poll, 1126 LV, MoE 3%, 10/23-10/24/12)
- 53 Percent Of Virginia Voters Trust Romney To Cut Government Spending, While 38 Percent Trust Obama. (Fox News Poll, 1126 LV, MoE 3%, 10/23-10/24/12)
New Hampshire
Rasmussen Reports: Romney Leads Obama 50-48 Percent In New Hampshire. ( Rasmussen Reports , 500 LV, MoE 4.5%, 10/23/12)
American Research Group Poll: Romney Leads Obama 49-47 Percent In New Hampshire. (American Research Group Poll, 600 LV, MoE 4%, 10/19-10/22/12)
Ohio
Time Poll: 50 Percent Of Ohio Voters Trust Romney To Handle The Economy, While 46 Percent Trust Obama. (Time Poll, 783 LV, MoE 3%, 10/22-10/23/12)
SurveyUSA: 46 Percent Of Ohio Voters Think Romney Would Do A Better Job Balancing The Budget, While 44 Percent Think Obama Would. (SurveyUSA, 609 LV, MoE 4.1%, 10/20-10/22/12)
48 Percent Of Ohio Voters Disapprove Of ObamaCare, While 36 Percent Approve. (SurveyUSA, 609 LV, MoE 4.1%, 10/20-10/22/12)
Suffolk University: 49 Percent Of Ohio Voters Think ObamaCare Is Generally Bad, While 43 Percent Think It Is Generally Good. (Suffolk University, 600 LV, MoE 4%, 10/18-10/21/12)
Public Policy Polling: 51 Percent Of Ohio Voters Trust Romney More On The Economy, While 47 Percent Trust Obama. (Public Policy Polling, 532 LV, MoE 4.3%, 10/18-10/20/12)
- 54 Percent Of Ohio Independent Voters Trust Romney More On The Economy, While 39 Percent Trust Obama. (Public Policy Polling, 532 LV, MoE 4.3%, 10/18-10/20/12)
50 Percent Of Ohio Voters Disapprove Of President Obama’s Job Performance, While 48 Percent Approve. (Public Policy Polling, 532 LV, MoE 4.3%, 10/18-10/20/12)
- 54 Percent Of Ohio Independent Voters Disapprove Of President Obama’s Job Performance, While 41 Percent Approve. (Public Policy Polling, 532 LV, MoE 4.3%, 10/18-10/20/12)
Colorado
NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll: 49 Percent Of Likely Colorado Voters Disapprove Of Obama’s Job Performance, While 48 Percent Approve. ( NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll , 1128 LV, MoE 2.9%, 10/23-10/24/12)
51 Percent Of Likely Colorado Voters Think The Country Is On The Wrong Track, While 46 Percent Think It Is Headed In The Right Direction. ( NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll , 1128 LV, MoE 2.9%, 10/23-10/24/12)
Iowa
Public Policy Polling: 49 Percent Of Iowa Voters Disapprove Of President Obama’s Job Performance, While 48 Percent Approve. (Public Policy Polling, 690 LV, MoE 3.7%, 10/23-10/24/12)
- 49 Percent Of Iowa Independent Voters Disapprove Of President Obama’s Job Performance, While 46 Percent Approve. (Public Policy Polling, 690 LV, MoE 3.7%, 10/23-10/24/12)
- 49 Percent Of Iowa Female Voters Disapprove Of President Obama’s Job Performance While 47 Percent Approve. (Public Policy Polling, 690 LV, MoE 3.7%, 10/23-10/24/12)
Nevada
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: 49 Percent Of Nevada Likely Voters Think Romney Would Do A Better Job Of Handling The Economy, While 46 Percent Think Obama Would. ( NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll , 1042 LV, MoE 3.%, 10/23-10/24/12)
- 50 Percent Of Nevada Likely Voters Think The Country Is On The Wrong Track, While 47 Percent Think It Is Headed In The Right Direction. ( NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll , 1042 LV, MoE 3.%, 10/23-10/24/12)
Gravis Marketing: 50 Percent Of Nevada Voters Disapprove Of Obama’s Job Performance, While 45 Percent Approve. (Gravis Marketing, 955 LV, MoE 3.2%, 10/24/12)
- 48 Percent Of Nevada Voters Think The Country Is Headed In The Wrong Direction, While 42 Percent Think It Is On The Right Track. (Gravis Marketing, 955 LV, MoE 3.2%, 10/24/12)
North Carolina
Public Policy Polling: 50 Percent Of North Carolina Voters Disapprove Of President Obama’s Job Performance, While 48 Percent Approve. (Public Policy Polling, 880 LV, MoE 3.3%, 10/23-10/25/12)
- 53 Percent Of North Carolina Independent Voters Disapprove Of President Obama’s Job Performance, While 45 Percent Approve. (Public Policy Polling, 880 LV, MoE 3.3%, 10/23-10/25/12)






