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Clinton Gets Berned

- June 7, 2016

As Clinton Attempts To Declare Herself The Democratic Nominee, She'll Have A Tough Time Bringing Alienated Bernie Supporters On Board


TOP TAKEAWAYS

  • Today, Clinton will attempt to declare herself the Democratic nominee with the help of unbound, unelected superdelegates.
  • The divisive Democrat primary has left Clinton with the daunting task of uniting a "deeply divided" party where opposition to her nomination is growing, especially after her campaign has regularly antagonized Sanders supporters.
  • Polls are indicating Sanders supporters are willing to cross party lines to continue opposing Clinton in the general and that she has struggled to unite Democrats even in states she won months ago.

AS CLINTON PREPARES TO DECLARE HERSELF THE NOMINEE, SANDERS AND HIS SUPPORTERS ARE SIGNALING THEY AREN'T GIVING UP AND MAY NOT BACK HER IN NOVEMBER

Clinton Is Preparing To Lock Up The Party's Nomination On Tuesday

Clinton Is "On The Cusp Of Declaring Victory As The Democratic Nominee… But She Has One Very Serious Problem: The Vermont Senator Isn't Giving Up." "Hillary Clinton is on the cusp of declaring victory as the Democratic nominee after a long and protracted battle with Bernie Sanders. But she has one very serious problem: The Vermont senator isn't giving up." (Maeve Reston, "Clinton Is Close, But Sanders Not Ready To Give Up," CNN, 6/6/16)

The California Primary Today Offers Sanders An Opportunity To Continue Making His Case As Polling Indicates The Large State Is A Toss Up. "It has easily been the closest contest in a big state, at least in the pre-election polls. And even though it won't affect the outcome of the race, the stakes are nonetheless real: the chance for Mr. Sanders to continue making his case heading into the convention… Mrs. Clinton leads Mr. Sanders in all the polls. But the polls are close enough that he could win." (Nate Cohn, "Why A Long Count In California Would Hurt Bernie Sanders (Even If He Wins)," The New York Times , 6/6/16)

No Matter What Happens, Many Of Senator Sanders' Supporters Are Steadfast In Their Disapproval Of Clinton With 25 Percent Refusing To Back Her In The General Election

One In Four Sanders Supporters Refuse To Back Clinton In The General Election. "One out of every four Bernie Sanders supporters said they will not support Hillary Clinton in the general election if she is the Democratic Party's standard bearer, according to the results of a McClatchy-Marist poll out Wednesday." (Nick Gass, "Poll: 1 In 4 Sanders Supporters Won't Vote For Clinton,"Politico , 4/6/16)

An ABC Poll Indicates That Twenty Percent Of Sanders Supporters Would Vote For Donald Trump Over Hillary Clinton. "The continued Democratic primary race appears to be sapping some of Clinton's strength in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates. She's losing 20 percent of Bernie Sanders' supporters to Trump, while winning only 11 percent of leaned Republicans who backed someone other than Trump for their party's nomination." (Gary Langer, "A Post-Primary Rally Boosts Trump, Albeit With Challenges Aplenty (POLL)," ABC News, 5/22/16)

Over 20,000 Sanders Supporters Have Committed To Protesting Clinton's Nomination At The Democratic Convention. "More than twenty thousand people have committed to protest Hillary Clinton's likely nomination at the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia - and that number is quickly growing. The protesters are united in their support for Bernie Sanders, as well as their opposition to "a fraudulent Hillary nomination," according to the group's website." (Peter Hasson, "Twenty Thousand Committed to Anti-Hillary 'Occupy DNC' Protest," The Daily Caller, 5/31/16)

Huffington Post Headline: "Don't Assume Bernie Sanders Supporters Will Back Hillary Clinton If She's The Nominee" (Samantha-Jo Roth, "Don't Assume Bernie Sanders Supporters Will Back Hillary Clinton If She's The Nominee," The Huffington Post ¸3/2/16)

Bernie's Delegates Are Refusing To Throw In The Towel And Back Clinton

Sanders' New York Delegate Eddie Kay: "This Is A Battle And We're Not Giving In." "'Of course it will be contentious,' said Sanders New York delegate Eddie Kay, a former union organizer for 1199-SEIU. 'This is a battle and we're not going to give in. Clinton's tactic so far is to move five inches when she's forced to. Five inches will not solve it. We will not stop yelling about what we think the people need.' Kay is no shrinking violet - at the New York State convention, where he felt too many speakers were pro-Clinton, he raised his voice to shout, 'I want to hear a pro-Bernie speaker!'" (Annie Karni, "Bernie's Wrecking Crew," Politico, 6/3/16)

A California Sanders Supporter Said Supporting Clinton "Would Cement In Place Everything We Are Fighting Against. I Could Never In Good Conscience Vote For Hillary Clinton." "'Just pack up your revolution and go home? Really? That's not going to happen,' said Tara Margolin, a 50-year-old Sanders supporter and self-described Democrat who lives in Los Angeles. She dismissed the idea that Sanders voters might coalesce behind Clinton. 'She would cement in place everything we are fighting against. I could never in good conscience vote for Hillary Clinton.'" (Clare Foran, "The 'Never Clinton' Campaign," The Atlantic, 5/5/16)

Another Sanders Backer Said "I Couldn't Live With Myself If I Voted For Clinton." "Brownfield plans to write in the senator's name when it comes time to cast a ballot in the general election if Sanders fails to secure the nomination. The decision wasn't easy. 'The thought of Trump becoming president is vile and disgusting,' Brownfield said. 'But I realized I couldn't live with myself if I voted for Clinton. I would say I'm Bernie or Bust.'" (Clare Foran, "The 'Never Clinton' Campaign," The Atlantic, 5/5/16)

Some Sanders Supporters Are Not Only Opposing Clinton, But Are Actively Rallying Against Her And The Democrat Party

Some Of Sanders' Supporters Are Not Only Opposing Hillary Clinton, But Are "Actively Rooting For Clinton's Downfall." "Other Sanders delegates are not just hoping for concessions or negotiations, but are actively rooting for Clinton's downfall." (Annie Karni, "Bernie's Wrecking Crew," Politico, 6/3/16)

A Sanders New York Delegate: "It's Going To Be Funny To Watch When Hillary Gets Indicted." "Other Sanders delegates are not just hoping for concessions or negotiations, but are actively rooting for Clinton's downfall. Dave Handy, a 27-year-old progressive activist from New York who will go to Philadelphia as an at-large Sanders delegate, wrote on Twitter last week: 'It's going to be funny to watch when Hillary gets indicted, and all her supporters are like - #FeelTheBern,' with a GIF of someone's head exploding attached to his tweet." (Annie Karni, "Bernie's Wrecking Crew," Politico , 6/3/16)

Sanders Supporters Have Circulated "Won't Vote Hillary" Petitions. "These voters express unwavering dedication to Sanders on social media, deploying hashtags like NeverClinton and NeverHillary, and circulating petitions like www.wontvotehillary.com, which asks visitors to promise "under no circumstances will I vote for Hillary Clinton." It's garnered more than 56,500 signatures so far." (Clare Foran, "The 'Never Clinton' Campaign," The Atlantic, 5/5/16)

Others Have Encouraged Sanders Supporters To Leave The Democratic Party If Sanders Loses The Nomination, "Complicating Any Hope For A Quick Unity With Clinton." "In interviews here this week, Frazier and Taylor outlined their plans to CNN, imploring Sanders' supporters to leave the Democratic Party to protest rules governing the presidential nominating system. They are taking seriously Sanders' call for a political revolution, complicating any hope for quick unity with Clinton." (Jeff Zeleny, "Bernie Or Bust: Sanders Supporters Vow To Hold Out," CNN, 6/2/16)

Democrats Fear The Party's Longer-Than-Expected Primary Is Delaying Party Unity And As A Result Leaders Are Calling For Sanders To Drop Out

Democrat Party Leaders Have Begun "Openly Fretting About Uniting The Party." "And as party leaders start openly fretting about uniting the party against Trump, the drumbeat has picked up: 'Sometimes you just have to give up,' Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid told The Associated Press on Wednesday. 'I've never been too good at math, but I can figure that one out, I think he better do a little mathing.'" (Gabriel Debenedetti, "Bernie's California Endgame," Politico, 6/6/16)

Politico Headline: "Democratic Insiders To Bernie: Win California Or Get Out" (Steven Shepard, "Democratic Insiders To Bernie: Win California Or Get Out,"Politico, 6/3/16)

Many Activists, Strategists And Operatives Have Argued "If Bernie Sanders Fails To Win The California Primary Next Tuesday, He Should Immediately End His Long-Shot Campaign For The Democratic Presidential Nomination." "If Bernie Sanders fails to win the California primary next Tuesday, he should immediately end his long-shot campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination, even before the voting concludes the following week in the District of Columbia. That's according to Democratic members of The POLITICO Caucus - a panel of activists, strategists and operatives in 10 key battleground states - nearly 80 percent of whom said that a loss in California, combined with Hillary Clinton's virtually insurmountable delegate advantage, would represent the end of the road for Sanders. Only 21 percent said Sanders should take his campaign to the District's June 14 primary." (Steven Shepard, "Democratic Insiders To Bernie: Win California Or Get Out," Politico, 6/3/16)

CLINTON HAS A STRENUOUS PATH AHEAD TO UNITE THE PARTY AND EARN THE SUPPORT OF SANDERS VOTERS

The Sanders' Campaign Has Seen Strong Success With Independents And Young Voters, Two Groups Clinton Has Failed To Engage

In Order To Win The General Election, Clinton Will Need The Support From The Independents Who Have Rallied Around Sanders. "Clinton needs some of those independents to win, which is why winning over those Sanders supporters is critical to her campaign." (Jeff Zeleny, "Bernie Or Bust: Sanders Supporters Vow To Hold Out," CNN, 6/2/16)

Thus Far, 33% Of Sanders' Support Comes From Independents, While Clinton Has Managed To Gain Only 13% Support From Independents. "CNN exit polls from 27 states that have voted this year show that 63% of Sanders' supporters are Democrats and 33% are independents or from another party. It's a far cry from Clinton, whose supporters are 85% Democrat and only 13% independent or from another party." (Jeff Zeleny, "Bernie Or Bust: Sanders Supporters Vow To Hold Out," CNN, 6/2/16)

CNN Headline: "Young Voters Abandon Hillary Clinton For Bernie Sanders" (Dan Merica And Eric Bradner, "Young Voters Abandon Hillary Clinton For Bernie Sanders," CNN, 2/10/16)

Sanders Leads Clinton In Young Voters By A 71-28 Margin. "Now Sanders is beating Clinton by a 71-to-28 margin, receiving more than 2.4 million votes from young voters in the 25 states we can compare, according to numbers complied by Kei Kawashima-Ginsberg, director of the Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement at Tufts." (Jeff Stein, "Sanders Is Beating Obama's 2008 Youth Vote Record. And The Primary's Not Even Over," Vox, 6/2/16)

"Young People, It Seems, Haven't Been Deterred From The Polls By Sanders's Long Odds." "And it's true that it is all but certain Sanders is going to lose the race. But young people, it seems, haven't been deterred from the polls by Sanders's long odds. As Kawashima-Ginberg notes, the youth vote for Sanders has shown essentially no signs of slowing down even as the media called the race effectively decided." (Jeff Stein, "Sanders Is Beating Obama's 2008 Youth Vote Record. And The Primary's Not Even Over," Vox, 6/2/16)

Clinton Has Been Dismissive And Condescending Towards Sanders' Supporters, Throwing Into Question Whether She'll Be Able To Unify Her Party

Clinton Insulted Sanders' Young Supporters By Saying "It's Exciting To Be, In Effect, Protesting." MSNBC'S MIKA BRZEZINSKI: "When you look at the young women and the young people who are all going toward Bernie how do you attract them and why haven't you been able to so far? Because you have been saying, you have had a message that would resonate with them." CLINTON: "Look I think it's exciting to be in effect protesting. I remember. I did that a long time ago when I was in my twenties and I totally get the attraction of this." (MSNBC's " Morning Joe," 4/6/17)

Click To Watch

Bill Clinton Disregarded Young People As Just Saying "What The Heck, Let's Just Protest, Let's Be Mad." BILL CLINTON: "And the great Irish poet, wrote a poem about the Easter uprising where all this began. Trying to explain something that explains today. He said, too long a sacrifice, Yates did, too long a sacrifice can make a stone of the heart. And so when you see these young people just desperate to you know, they say, 'what the heck, let's just protest, let's be mad.' Here's what I know, it's okay to say that but you can never make a stone of your head, you always gotta keep thinkin', you always gotta keep looking forward you always gotta keep asking yourself what will make it better." (Bill Clinton, Remarks, Philadelphia, PA, 4/7/16)

Click To Watch

CNN's Jeff Zeleny Said The "Biggest Worrying Segment Of The Electorate" For Clinton Is "Young Voters." CNN'S JEFF ZELENY: "Bernie Sanders won across the board, mainly young voters but also independent voters. That is the biggest worrying segment of the electorate the Clinton campaign has not been able to reach out to. Now, as for Hillary Clinton she did not have an event at all. She was actually at a fundraiser last night in the Bronx." (CNN's " New Day," 4/6/17)

Click To Watch

Clinton Has Failed To Rally The Support Of Progressives As She Is "Perceived As The Personification Of The Corrupt Intersection Of Corporations And Government." "How does one go from a symbol of women's equality and battler of corporate interests to being perceived as the personification of the corrupt intersection of corporations and government?" (Bill Scher, "Why Does The Left Hate Hillary?" Politico, 5/31/16)

Clinton Has Dismissed Sanders' Ideas As Unrealistic And Too Ambitious. "It's the way Clinton talks when she dismisses Sanders' ambitious proposals by saying they 'just won't work' and 'the numbers don't add up.' It's her squeamishness toward his desire to mobilize the grass roots behind single-payer health care ('I don't want us to start over again [and] plunge our country into a contentious debate')." (Bill Scher, "Why Does The Left Hate Hillary?" Politico, 5/31/16)

Even The Clinton Campaign Acknowledges It Has A Long Way To Go Before It Can Win Over Sanders Supporters

The Clinton Campaign Acknowledges It Has A Lot Of Work To Do To Court Sanders Supporters. "A Clinton official acknowledged there is work to do to bring Sanders' stalwarts into the fold. 'Once the primaries are concluded, uniting the party will require effort from both Secretary Clinton and Senator Sanders,' said Clinton spokesman Brian Fallon. 'We intend to do our part, and we are confident in the end he will do his.' The Clinton campaign pointed to its support of a more inclusive platform committee as a sign of its early efforts to unify the party." (Annie Karni, "Bernie's Wrecking Crew," Politico, 6/3/16)

Clinton's Efforts To Reach Out To Sanders Voters And Unite The Party Have Not Yet Moved Voters. "Yet some of the voters who stand with Bernie have not been moved. 'She's lost my trust, frankly,' said Matt Brownfield, a 31-year-old Sanders supporter living in South Carolina. 'I don't think there's anything Clinton could say or do that would change my mind.' Brownfield plans to write in the senator's name when it comes time to cast a ballot in the general election if Sanders fails to secure the nomination." (Clare Foran, "The 'Never Clinton' Campaign," The Atlantic, 5/5/16)

Sanders Said Clinton Will Have To Work Hard To Win Over His Supporters. "In a separate interview on 'State of the Union,' Sanders said Clinton will have to work hard to win over his supporters. The Vermont senator said he can't 'snap my fingers' and send them into Clinton's camp. 'It is Secretary Clinton's job to explain to those people why she should get their support. And that means she's going to have to address their needs,' Sanders said." (Eric Bradner, "Clinton Plans Unity Push After Tuesday's Contests," CNN, 6/5/16)

The 'Bernie Or Bust' Movement Has "Considerable Support" And Has Said Clinton Will Struggle To Win Them Over. "Sara Alicia Huerta Long, who traveled to New Jersey from Michigan to volunteer for the Sanders campaign, said she believed the "Bernie or Bust" movement had considerable support and Clinton would struggle to win over Sanders' supporters." (Jeff Zeleny, "Bernie Or Bust: Sanders Supporters Vow To Hold Out," CNN, 6/2/16)

An Iowa Poll Shows Clinton Has Failed To Convert Sanders Supporters In The Four Months After Narrowly Winning The State

A New Des Moines Register Poll Shows Just 40 Percent Of Iowa Democrats Want Clinton To Be The Nominee, Demonstrating The Divide Between Sanders And Clinton Supporters Continues Even Four Months After Clinton Won The State By Less Than A Quarter Of A Percentage Point. "Four months after the caucuses, Democratic loyalties in Iowa remain deeply divided between presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, a new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows. But a wide swath of likely Democratic primary voters also believe Clinton is the best bet for defeating presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump. Forty-two percent of poll respondents say they support Sanders for the Democratic presidential nomination. Clinton is a whisker behind, at 40 percent. Eleven percent say they support neither candidate." (Jason Noble, "Iowa Poll: Clinton-Sanders Brawl Still Splits Iowa," The Des Moines Register , 6/5/15)


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