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Clinton Insiders Give Up On New Hampshire

- October 6, 2015

Some Clinton Family Insiders Are Wondering Why Resources Are Being Poured Into A State That Is Seen As "Distinctly Different" From The Rest Of The County

Clinton Insiders Are Giving Up On New Hampshire As Sen. Sander's Winning Is Seen As "A Near-Certainty." "Hillary Clinton is losing in New Hampshire, and at least one small contingent of family allies thinks it's nearly time to cut bait. … Despite confidence emanating from the campaign's paid leadership team that Clinton is well positioned with more than four months to go before the primary, this circle of informal advisers is whispering about more aggressively looking beyond New Hampshire after a summer that saw her polling advantage evaporate. These confidantes are not only granting the possibility that Sanders could win here: they see it as a near-certainty, and in some cases wonder about the usefulness of flooding the state with precious resources." (Gabriel Debenedetti, "Some Clinton Allies See Lost Cause In New Hampshire," Politico, 10/6/15)

  • Clinton Family Veterans "See Little Reason To Support A Strategy That Continues To Pour Resources Into The State Where Bernie Sanders' Already Surprising Lead Shows No Signs Of Shrinking." "The group - veterans of the family's old campaigns and people close to Clinton's fundraising - see little reason to support a strategy that continues to pour resources into the state where Bernie Sanders' already surprising lead shows no signs of shrinking." (Gabriel Debenedetti, "Some Clinton Allies See Lost Cause In New Hampshire," Politico, 10/6/15)

Even Clinton's Political Team "Readily Acknowledges Her Weakness In New Hampshire" And Are Well Aware Of The "Evidence Of A Lost Cause." "That's because Clinton's political team readily acknowledges her weakness in New Hampshire - she was down 14 points to Sanders by the end of September in the Huffington Post Pollster average. And the team is also well aware of the circumstances that the doubters see as evidence of a lost cause - Sanders' next-door neighbor status, voters' perceived inability to break into Clinton's Secret-Service mandated bubble, and her own role as the establishment's front-runner." (Gabriel Debenedetti, "Some Clinton Allies See Lost Cause In New Hampshire," Politico, 10/6/15)

It's Hard To Win In New Hampshire When You Disregard Its Citizens As "Distinctly Different From Most Places"

People In New Hampshire And Iowa Are "Not Emblematic Of The Country" And Are "Distinctly Different From Most Places" According To One Of Clinton's Many Washington-Based Insiders. ""I look at New Hampshire and I say, 'um, yeah, whatever.' I like the people in Iowa. I like the people in New Hampshire. But you know what? They are distinctly different than most places in the country are. They are very white, they are very parochial. And they are not emblematic of the country," explained one Washington-based Clinton friend who remains in touch with the candidate, adding that she would be comfortable relying on the campaign's organization in the 48 other states." (Gabriel Debenedetti, "Some Clinton Allies See Lost Cause In New Hampshire," Politico, 10/6/15)

  • "Very White" And "Very Parochial" Is How One Clinton Insider Described The Citizens Of Iowa And New Hampshire. "'They are very white, they are very parochial. And they are not emblematic of the country," explained one Washington-based Clinton friend who remains in touch with the candidate, adding that she would be comfortable relying on the campaign's organization in the 48 other states." (Gabriel Debenedetti, "Some Clinton Allies See Lost Cause In New Hampshire," Politico, 10/6/15)

Clinton's Struggles In New Hampshire Is Exacerbating Tensions In Clinton World

While Clinton Friends Advocate Abandoning New Hampshire, Her Campaign Staff Says The Idea "Is Beyond Ridiculous, And Potentially Campaign-Killing." "But to Clinton staffers in both Brooklyn and Manchester, the idea of shifting away from New Hampshire - the state that resuscitated Clinton's 2008 campaign and her husband's 1992 effort - is beyond ridiculous, and potentially campaign-killing. The state couldn't be further from hopeless, they say. Clinton's team acknowledges they've heard rumblings of discontent from old family hands, but the schism hasn't broken into the open." (Gabriel Debenedetti, "Some Clinton Allies See Lost Cause In New Hampshire," Politico, 10/6/15)

Clinton's New Hampshire Campaign Staff "Are Growing Frustrated" With "Hand-Wringing From The Sidelines." "Clinton has poured millions of dollars into the state to pay for television advertising and its 50 in-state staffers, and the candidate spends as much time in New Hampshire - where she was on Monday - as any other state besides Iowa - where she'll be on Tuesday. So her backers on the ground here are growing frustrated with such hand-wringing from the sidelines, saying that Clinton's demonstrated investment - combined with the fact that New Hampshire Democrats have tended to change their minds late in the race in recent cycles - should be enough to calm the nervous." (Gabriel Debenedetti, "Some Clinton Allies See Lost Cause In New Hampshire," Politico, 10/6/15)

Clinton Insiders' Turning Against New Hampshire Is Surprising Considering How Good The State Has Been To The Family In The Past

"First, The Granite State Has Been Good To The Clintons - Unlike Iowa." (Dan Balz, "In Sanders Vs. Clinton, new Hampshire Replays Past Splits," The Washington Post , 9/7/15)

  • "Both Clinton's Love New Hampshire." "Sanders has two other factors to consider as he looks to spring an upset in New Hampshire. First, the Granite State has been good to the Clintons - unlike Iowa. In 1992, Bill Clinton's campaign was rescued after a scandal-driven meltdown by a second-place finish in the primary there. In 2008, Hillary Clinton claimed a surprise victory over Barack Obama when she appeared on the brink of a second straight loss. Both Clintons love New Hampshire." (Dan Balz, "In Sanders Vs. Clinton, new Hampshire Replays Past Splits," The Washington Post , 9/7/15)

New Hampshire Supported Clinton Against Obama The Last Time She Ran For President. "In 2008, Hillary Clinton claimed a surprise victory over Barack Obama when she appeared on the brink of a second straight loss." (Dan Balz, "In Sanders Vs. Clinton, new Hampshire Replays Past Splits," The Washington Post , 9/7/15)

Bill Clinton's 1992 Presidential Campaign Was "Rescued" By A Good Showing In New Hampshire. "In 1992, Bill Clinton's campaign was rescued after a scandal-driven meltdown by a second-place finish in the primary there." (Dan Balz, "In Sanders Vs. Clinton, new Hampshire Replays Past Splits," The Washington Post , 9/7/15)

CLINTON HAS REASON TO WORRY AS SHE HAS TRAILED BERNIE SANDERS IN STATE POLLING

Sen. Sanders Is Leading Clinton In New Hampshire By 9 Percentage Points, 48 Percent To 39 Percent, According To The Latest NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll. (NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll, 1044 RV, 3% MoE, 10/15)

  • This Is The Second Month In A Row NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll Has Shown Sen. Sanders Leading By 9 Percentage Points. (NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll, 1044 RV, 3% MoE, 10/15)

Back In February, Clinton Was Leading Sen. Sanders by 53 Percentage Points, 69 Percent To 13 Percent. (NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll, 1044 RV, 3% MoE, 10/15)

59 Percent Of Registered Voters Have An Unfavorable View Of Clinton, While Only 36 Percent View Her Favorably. (NBC/WSJ/Marist Poll, 1044 RV, 3% MoE, 10/15)


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