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Clinton's Southern Firewall Begins To Crack

- January 25, 2016

Today, A South Carolina Lawmaker Is Withdrawing His Support For Clinton And Will Instead Endorse Bernie Sanders

Today, South Carolina Lawmaker Justin Bamberg, Also The Lawyer For The Family Of Walter Scott, Is Withdrawing His Support From Clinton And Plans To Endorse Bernie Sanders. “The lawyer for the family of Walter L. Scott, who was fatally shot by a police officer in South Carolina, is withdrawing his support from Hillary Clinton and endorsing Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont on Monday afternoon. The lawyer, State Representative Justin T. Bamberg of South Carolina, said he is switching sides because he believes Mrs. Clinton embodies establishment politics, while Mr. Sanders offers a bolder platform that will improve the lives of people in the South and across the country.” (Yamiche Alcindor, “Lawyer For Walter Scott Family Switches Sides To Endorse Bernie Sanders,” The New York Times, 1/25/16)

  • Bamberg Says "He Is Switching Sides Because He Believes Mrs. Clinton Embodies Establishment Politics, While Mr. Sanders Offers A Bolder Platform." "The lawyer for the family of Walter L. Scott, who was fatally shot by a police officer in South Carolina, is withdrawing his support from Hillary Clinton and endorsing Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont on Monday afternoon. The lawyer, State Representative Justin T. Bamberg of South Carolina, said he is switching sides because he believes Mrs. Clinton embodies establishment politics, while Mr. Sanders offers a bolder platform that will improve the lives of people in the South and across the country." (Yamiche Alcindor, "Lawyer For Walter Scott Family Switches Sides To Endorse Bernie Sanders," The New York Times , 1/25/16)
  • Bamberg: "Hillary Clinton Is More A Representation Of The Status Quo When I Think About Politics Or About What It Means To Be A Democrat." "'Hillary Clinton is more a representation of the status quo when I think about politics or about what it means to be a Democrat,' said Mr. Bamberg, who initially endorsed Mrs. Clinton in December. 'Bernie Sanders on the other hand is bold. He doesn't think like everyone else. He is not afraid to call things as they are.'" (Yamiche Alcindor, "Lawyer For Walter Scott Family Switches Sides To Endorse Bernie Sanders," The New York Times , 1/25/16)

The Announcement Follows A New CBS News Poll Showing Clinton's Lead In South Carolina Shrinking To Its Smallest Yet

A New CBS/YouGov Poll Showed Clinton's Lead Shrinking To Its "Smallest Over Sanders In South Carolina Since Sanders Entered The Race In April." "Among Democrats, Clinton leads U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont in South Carolina by 60 percent to 38 percent, CBS News/YouGov found. The former secretary of state's 22-percentage-point lead is her smallest over Sanders in South Carolina since Sanders entered the race in April, according to Real Clear Politics. She led by as many as 56 percentage points in the fall. Clinton's S.C. support is down 7 percentage points since the last CBS News poll a month ago, while Sanders gained 7 percentage points." (Andrew Shain, "Polls: Trump, Clinton remain the leaders in SC," The State, 1/24/16)

Democrats Agree-Clinton's Firewall May Not Be As Secure As She Thinks

Hillary Clinton Is Splitting As Much As 90% Of Her Campaign’s Resources Between Iowa And Her Brooklyn Headquarters, Leaving Her So-Called “Firewall” Poorly Defended. “As much as 90 percent of the campaign’s resources are now split between Iowa and the Brooklyn headquarters, according to an estimate provided by a person with direct knowledge of the spending.” (Amy Chozick, “Hillary Clinton Gets Set for a Long Slog Against Bernie Sanders,” The New York Times, 1/18/16)

"A Win By Sanders In Iowa And New Hampshire Could Supply A Boost Of Momentum That Could Greatly Erode The Clinton Firewall." "Clinton has what political insiders call the 'firewall': Overwhelming support among black and Hispanic voters in Southern and some Western states. But a win by Sanders in Iowa and New Hampshire could supply a boost of momentum that could greatly erode the Clinton firewall." (Charles M. Blow, Op-Ed, "Hillary Clinton Stumbles," The New York Times, 1/26/16)

Former Obama Advisor On Clinton Winning South Carolina: "It's Not As Inevitable As People Think It Is." "'It's not as inevitable as people think it is,' Rick Wade, a senior adviser in President Barack Obama's 2008 campaign, said of a Clinton win." (David Lightman, "Can South Carolina Warm Up To Bernie Sanders?" McClatchy, 1/25/16)

Last Week, Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-SC) Hinted That Clinton's South Carolina Firewall May Collapse. CLYBURN: "Well, at the moment, this is a firewall for her. No question about that, she's way ahead in South Carolina. But as happened in 2008, Iowa can change that dynamic very quickly. If it's close in Iowa and New Hampshire, she could lose both those states and not get hurt badly, in fact it doesn't even have to be close in New Hampshire if it's close in Iowa. If it's a blowout, I mean a 10 points loss-" MITCHELL: "In Iowa?" CLYBURN: "-In Iowa, it would redefine the race." … MITCHELL: "What do you mean by redefine the race?" CLYBURN: "I mean South Carolina could do this year what it did in 2008." TODD: "How's her organization here? She needs it as a firewall, is it a good organization? Is it built for a firewall?" CLYBURN: "She's got a good organization, oh yeah." TODD: "is it built for a firewall?" CLYBURN: "Yes it is. But it's not built for a blow out." TODD: "Very interesting." MITCHELL: "And how's his organization here?" CLYBURN: "Good. It's much better than I thought it was two weeks ago. What I found since I've been home on this break is that he's doing well." (NBC News Democrat Debate Coverage, 1/17/16)

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