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red state Dems should be scared

Michael Ahrens - January 20, 2018

New national polling spells trouble for Democrats, particularly Senate Democrats in states President Trump carried in 2016. The far left base might be happy with the #SchumerShutdown, but that’s definitely not the case in battleground states across the country. From CNN

Here are five reasons why American public opinion may be betting against the Democrats in the shutdown battle:

1. More Americans polled said avoiding a shutdown is more important than continuing DACA.

“A majority of Americans, 56%, said approving a budget to avoid a government shutdown was more important for Congress to do than passing a bill to maintain the DACA program. Only one in three Americans, 34%, said they prioritized a DACA fix over avoiding a shutdown.”

2. Finding a DACA fix was seen as more important than opposing the wall.

“…more than half of the country – a broad 8 in 10 Americans said that continuing the DACA program is more important to them then blocking construction of a border wall. Only 1 in 6 said opposing the border wall is more important than continuing DACA.”

3. More Americans said CHIP is a higher priority than DACA

“Overall, 8 in 10 Americans said it is extremely or very important for the President and Congress to fund the Children's Health Insurance Program this year, through which lower income children are able to get health insurance even if their parents aren't covered. That ranks as a higher priority for Americans than DACA overall (a smaller majority of 63% consider dealing with DACA as big a priority), and opens the door to GOP messaging suggesting Democrats are scuttling one popular program with more pressing funding concerns in favor of their pet issue.”

4. Democrats themselves barely agreed with congressional Democrats' tradeoff

“Not quite half of Democrats -- 49% -- said they think that finding a solution for the roughly 690,000 undocumented immigrants who came to the United States as children is a higher priority than keeping the government open. … Among Democrats who say they are ideologically moderate or conservative, 51% said approving a budget agreement is more important, while 40% choose DACA.”

5. Independents agree with Republicans on these issues

“Most independents fell in line with Republicans on the crucial choices facing both parties as a government shutdown approached. …a majority of independents, 57%, said they prioritized avoiding a government shutdown over finding a DACA solution. Only 34% said a DACA solution is more important.”


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