Contribute
CONNECT:

research

The Clinton Crackup

- January 16, 2016

Heading Into Tonight's Democrat Debate, Hillary Is Reeling From Her Plummeting Poll Numbers

_____________________________________________________________________

TOP TAKEAWAYS

  • As Democrats debate for the last time before the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, Hillary Clinton's poll numbers are cratering.
  • Once comfortably ahead of Bernie Sanders, recent polling shows Clinton in a "statistical dead heat" in Iowa, and her national lead in free fall.
  • Meanwhile, recent surveys have shown Sanders expanding his lead over Clinton in New Hampshire to double digits.
  • Facing the prospect of losing the first two nominating contests, Clinton has begun "relentlessly" attacking Sanders while Democrats fret over the prospect of a 2008 repeat.

_____________________________________________________________________

GOING INTO TONIGHT'S DEBATE, CLINTON IS STARTING TO SLIP IN THE POLLS AGAINST BERNIE

The Washington Post's Chris Cillizza: "There Are Warning Signs Almost Everywhere She Looks That Suggest That The Vermont Socialist Is Gaining Momentum At Exactly The Worst Moment For Clinton's Chances At Winning The Nomination." (Chris Cillizza, "Hillary Clinton Says She's 'Not Nervous At All' About Bernie Sanders. She Should Be." The Washington Post , 1/13/16)

Tonight's Debate Has Clinton Arriving "In The Middle Of A Rocky Stretch, All Of The Sudden On The Wrong Side Of A New Narrative…" "She arrives here in the middle of a rocky stretch, all of a sudden on the wrong side of a new narrative that suggests Sanders is surging and she is weakening, facing possible defeat in the first two contests of the year." (Dan Balz, "Can Clinton Find The Spark To Fend Off The Challenge From Sanders?" The Washington Post , 1/16/16)

The Headlines Scream Bad News For Clinton

The Washington Post's Headline: "Clinton's Lead Is Evaporating, And Anxious Democrats See 2008 All Over Again." (Paul Kane, "Clinton's Lead Is Evaporating, And Anxious Democrats See 2008 All Over Again," The Washington Post , 1/15/16)

The Associated Press Headline: "As Primary Race Tightens, Democrats Brace For A Messy Winter" (Lisa Lerer And Ken Thomas, "As Primary Race Tightens, Democrats Brace For A Messy Winter," The Associated Press , 1/16/16)

The Huffington Post's Headline: "Hillary Clinton Is Botching Her Best Chance To Win." (Jason Linkins and Zach Carter, "Hillary Clinton Is Botching Her Best Chance To Win," The Huffington Post, 1/15/16)

National Journal Headline: "For Clinton, 2016 Is Looking Too Much Like 2008." (Michael Mishak, "For Clinton, 2016 Is Looking Too Much Like 2008," National Journal, 1/15/16)

The Washington Post Headline: "Hillary Clinton Says She's 'Not Nervous At All' About Bernie Sanders. She Should Be." (Chris Cillizza, "Hillary Clinton Says She's 'Not Nervous At All' About Bernie Sanders. She Should Be," The Washington Post, 1/14/16)

The Los Angeles Times Headline: "As Democratic Polls Tighten, Clinton Adopts A More Aggressive Approach." (Evan Halper and Chris Megerian, "As Democratic Polls Tighten, Clinton Adopts A More Aggressive Approach," The Los Angeles Times, 1/14/16)

The Washington Post Headline: "Can Clinton Find The Spark To Fend Off The Challenge From Sanders?" (Dan Balz, "Can Clinton Find The Spark To Fend Off The Challenge From Sanders?" The Washington Post , 1/16/16)

But The Polling Is Even Worse As New Surveys In Iowa Have Sanders And Clinton Polling "In A Statistical Dead Heat"

Clinton Faces The Risk Of Defeat In Both New Hampshire And Iowa. " Just weeks before ballots are cast in the key early-voting states of Iowa and New Hampshire, Clinton faces risk of defeat in both places, where anything but convincing victories for her could herald the kind of drawn-out, bloodying primary that establishment Democrats had banked on averting." (Evan Halper And Chris Megerian, "As Democratic Polls Tighten, Clinton Adopts A More Aggressive Approach," Los Angeles Times, 1/14/16)

Clinton's Steady Lead Among Likely Iowa Caucus-Goers Has "Evaporated" Suggesting That The "Race Is In A Statistical Dead Heat." "In Iowa, the story is the same for Clinton. Suddenly her steady lead among likely caucus-goers has evaporated -- with a series of polls in the last few days suggesting that the race is a statistical dead heat." (Chris Cillizza, "Hillary Clinton Says She's 'Not Nervous At All' About Bernie Sanders. She Should Be." The Washington Post , 1/13/16)

Clinton Now Only Leads Sanders 42 Percent To 40 Percent, Within The Margin Of Error. ( The Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Poll , 503 LV, 4.4% MoE, 1/7-10/16)

  • Clinton's Support Has Slipped 6 Percentage Points In One Month. "The tightening race is not because of a surge in support for Sanders, the poll indicates. His support has risen just 1 percentage point in the past month. But Clinton has seen her support slide from 48 percent to 42 percent." (Tony Leys, "DMR: Iowa Poll: Clinton Slides, Leads Sanders By 2 Points, The Des Moines Register, 1/14/16)

Clinton's National Lead Is Collapsing As Well

The 20 Point National Lead Clinton Held In December, "Has Now Been Snipped Down To Single Digits By Sanders." "The new New York Times/CBS News national poll shows Clinton as a significantly diminished front-runner and Sanders as the surging insurgent. The 20-point lead she held a month ago has now been snipped down to single digits by Sanders." (Chris Cillizza, "Hillary Clinton Says She's 'Not Nervous At All' About Bernie Sanders. She Should Be." The Washington Post , 1/13/16)

  • 28 Percent Of Democrats Don't Believe Clinton Shares Their Values. (CBS News/New York Times Poll, 389 RV, ,1/7-10/16)
  • Male Democratic Voters Now Support Sanders 45 Percent To 40 Percent For Clinton, A 19 Point Swing Since The December Poll. (CBS News/New York Times Poll, 389 RV, ,1/7-10/16)
  • Liberal Democratic Voters Now Support Sanders 55 Percent To 40 Percent For Clinton, A 32 Point Swing Since The December Poll. (CBS News/New York Times Poll, 389 RV, ,1/7-10/16)

Voters Under 45 Now Support Sanders 60 Percent To 31 Percent For Clinton, A 22 Point Swing Since The December Poll. (CBS News/New York Times Poll, 389 RV, ,1/7-10/16)

It Is Even Worse For Clinton In The Granite State, Where Sanders Leads Among Every Demographic Group

In A New Monmouth University Poll, Sanders Is Leading Clinton In New Hampshire 53 Percent To 39 Percent. ( Monmouth University Poll , 413 LV, 4.8% MoE, 1/7-10/16)

  • Sanders Leads Among Democratic Voters 50 Percent To 42 Percent Over Clinton. ( Monmouth University Poll , 413 LV, 4.8% MoE, 1/7-10/16)
  • Sanders Also Leads Among Independent Voters 57 Percent To 35 Percent Over Clinton. ( Monmouth University Poll , 413 LV, 4.8% MoE, 1/7-10/16)
  • Sanders Even Leads Among Women Voters 50 Percent To 44 Percent Over Clinton, A 25 Point Swing From The Last Poll. ( Monmouth University Poll , 413 LV, 4.8% MoE, 1/7-10/16)
  • Sanders Continues His Strong Showing With Under 50 Voters Leading Clinton 58 Percent To 30 Percent. ( Monmouth University Poll , 413 LV, 4.8% MoE, 1/7-10/16)
  • Sanders Now Leads Among Voters Age 50 And Up 50 Percent To 44 Percent, A 24 Point Swing Since The Last Poll. ( Monmouth University Poll , 413 LV, 4.8% MoE, 1/7-10/16)

CLINTON SHOULD BE NERVOUS AS BERNIE CONTINUES TO GAIN ATTENTION

The Washington Post's Chris Cillizza: "Clinton Should ABSOLUTELY Be Nervous About The State Of The Race ... " " Clinton should ABSOLUTELY be nervous about the state of the race with less than three weeks before voters in Iowa head to caucuses." (Chris Cillizza, "Hillary Clinton Says She's 'Not Nervous At All' About Bernie Sanders. She Should Be." The Washington Post , 1/13/16)

Clinton's Late-Breaking Downturn Is More Unexpected Than In 2008, With Her Lead Dropping Faster With Less Warning Than It Did Eight Years Ago. "But in many other ways, the late-breaking downturn in Hillary Clinton's 2016 campaign is more unexpected than in 2008. Her national polling lead, which held steady for months, has dropped faster than it did eight years ago and with less warning." (Alex Seitz-Wald, "How 2016 Is Not Like 2008 For Hillary Clinton: It's Worse," MSNBC, 1/16/16)

Sanders Is Enormously Popular Among Democrats For What He Is Articulating And The Way He Is Campaigning. "But Sanders is enormously popular among Democrats right now for what he is articulating and the way he is campaigning. And he has the resources to keep going." (Dan Balz, "Can Clinton Find The Spark To Fend Off The Challenge From Sanders?" The Washington Post , 1/16/16)

What Once Seemed To Be A Race Controlled By Clinton Has Turned Into A Neck-And-Neck Contest With Sanders. "What seemed recently to be a race largely controlled by Clinton has turned into a neck-and-neck contest with voting set to begin in less than three weeks." (Paul Kane, "Clinton's Lead Is Evaporating, And Anxious Democrats See 2008 All Over Again," The Washington Post , 1/14/16)

New York Times' Nick Confessore Noted: "What We Are Seeing In These Polls … Is Evidence That Voters Are Beginning To See Sanders As A Possible Nominee." CONFESSORE: "It's just incredibly hard to sell defeat to your supporters and your donors, if she loses two in a row it's just harder for her to say that 'I'm the de facto nominee, or I will definitely win' and what we are seeing in these polls, Jose, is some evidence that voters are beginning to see Sanders as a possible nominee, as somebody who can carry the day, who might even have better appeal with some independent voters, than Hillary Clinton, it's sort of surprising given his politics, but that's what the polls say." (MSNBC's Live With Jose Diaz-Balart, 1/13/16)

Click To Watch

The "Firewall" That Hillary Clinton Painstakingly Constructed To Ensure An Early And Decisive Victory "Isn't Holding…" "The firewall that Hillary Clinton spent months painstakingly constructing to ensure quick, early and decisive victory in the Democratic nominating contest isn't holding, leaving the candidate once considered the prohibitive favorite scrambling to regain her momentum." (Evan Halper And Chris Megerian, "As Democratic Polls Tighten, Clinton Adopts A More Aggressive Approach," Los Angeles Times, 1/14/16)

"No One Is Worried" That Hillary Clinton's Presidential Campaign Is A Coronation Anymore. "There was a time when Democrats fretted about Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign becoming a coronation and leaving her without the tests of a primary season to prepare for a general election matchup against the Republican nominee. No one is worried about that anymore." (Lisa Lerer And Ken Thomas, "As Primary Race Tightens, Democrats Brace For A Messy Winter," The Associated Press , 1/16/16)

The Washington Post's Eugene Robinson: In The Democrat Primary Race, Sanders Is "Surging" And Clinton Now Faces A "Contest-One She Could Lose." "If you thought the political landscape couldn't be more unsettled, think again. In the race for the Democratic presidential nomination, Bernie Sanders is surging. Hillary Clinton now faces not a coronation, not a cakewalk, but a contest - one she could lose." (Eugene Robinson, "Finally, Hillary Clinton Has A Battle On Her Hands," The Washington Post , 1/14/16)

Out Of Desperation, Clinton Is "Relentlessly Attacking" Sanders To Regain Footing

Clinton Is Now "Relentlessly Attacking The Rival She Mostly Ignored For Months." " She is now relentlessly attacking the rival she mostly ignored for months. By this week, even Chelsea Clinton had touched off a spirited back-and-forth with the Sanders campaign. Speaking to voters in New Hampshire, she accused her mother's rival, who favors a European-style single-payer healthcare system, of seeking to 'dismantle Obamacare … dismantle Medicare and dismantle private insurance.' The comments riled Sanders, as well as his network of activists who accuse the Clinton machine of misleading voters." (Evan Halper And Chris Megerian, "As Democratic Polls Tighten, Clinton Adopts A More Aggressive Approach," Los Angeles Times , 1/14/16)

The Clinton Campaign Is In A "Heightened State Of Concern." " Sanders, the reconstructed New Dealer, has the Clinton juggernaut in a heightened state of concern. He is leading in New Hampshire in most every independent poll, and polling in Iowa suggests the race there is a toss-up, with the momentum on his side." (Evan Halper And Chris Megerian, "As Democratic Polls Tighten, Clinton Adopts A More Aggressive Approach," Los Angeles Times, 1/14/16)

The Initiation Of The Attacks By Clinton Has "The Taint Of Desperation." "The initiation of the barbs by Clinton has the taint of desperation, coming from a candidate who did everything by the book yet is watching her lead slip away nonetheless. It is unclear whether they will be effective in helping stir up the voter passion her campaign has lacked." (Evan Halper And Chris Megerian, "As Democratic Polls Tighten, Clinton Adopts A More Aggressive Approach," Los Angeles Times, 1/14/16)

Clinton's New Shift In Course Carries The Risk Of Alienating Liberals Who Sanders Is Popular With. "In the past week, Clinton has shifted course in apparent response to Sanders' strong poll results. She has stepped up her criticism of her rival, a self-described democratic socialist, after carefully avoiding that during the campaign. The new approach carries risks. Sanders is popular with liberals who are part of the coalition that Clinton will need to win the White House." (Lisa Lerer And Ken Thomas, "As Primary Race Tightens, Democrats Brace For A Messy Winter," The Associated Press , 1/16/16)

On Saturday, In A Pitiful Attempt To Attack Sanders, Team Clinton Raised Questions About His Health

Top Clinton Surrogate David Brock Is Attacking Bernie Sanders, Raising Questions About His Health. "A top surrogate for Hillary Clinton is prepping a new attack in an intensifying and increasingly personal war against rival Bernie Sanders -- calling on the 74-year-old to release his medical records before the Iowa caucuses on Feb. 1. Clinton defender David Brock -- founder of the Correct the Record PAC, which coordinates directly with Clinton's campaign -- is expected to hit the airwaves this weekend from Charleston, the scene of the third Democratic debate on Sunday night, and challenge Sanders to cough up a clean bill of health and doctor's note in the next 16 days, according to a Democrat familiar with his thinking who was not authorized to preview any strategy." (Annie Karni, "Clinton Surrogate To Demand Sanders Release Medical Records," Politico, 1/16/16)

Brock Has Previously Called Questions About Clinton's Health "Sleazy"

Click To Watch

In 2014, Brock Slammed Questions About Clinton's Health As "Sleazy" And Not "Legitimate." CNN's ERIN BURNETT: "David, what is interesting is, you know, there have been, you know, questions and people talking about that time and whether she was ill or not at that time. Should she just release more information, she could just say look, you want me to put it to bed? I'm going to put it to bed. Here is the medical records." BROCK: "Well, you know, at the time, you know, the conservatives can't quite get their lies straight. Because at the time they were saying this whole incident was faked so she didn't have to testify in the Benghazi hearings." BURNETT: "That's true." BROCK: "And so, I don't know what Rove is talking about when he says that things were hidden. First of all, there was a full accounting at the time. The doctor said there was full recovery. They said there was no neurological damage. And so, this is just I think part of a desperate effort on the part of the Republicans who know that Hillary Clinton if she decided to run would be incredibly formidable as a candidate. And their party will be divided. And they just don't know what to do with her. They have no health care plan, no job plan." BURNETT: "I just want to jump in here. Because as you know, you raise an interesting point. You know, she is going to be -- she is 66 now. She'll be 69 on Election Day." BROCK: "Sure." BURNETT: "Ronald Reagan, Bob Dole, John McCain, all of them dealt with that issue. But they all dealt with a lot of age questions in their elections. I mean, her health is going to be a legitimate topic, isn't it?" BROCK: "Well, look, I mean, first of all, we're not there yet. We're far away from the campaign. We're far away from a candidacy and we don't know what the answer to that will be." BURNETT: "Right." BROCK: "And certainly all candidates have had to deal with these issues. But as of right now, no. I think it's an issue in Republican gossip mills. And I think that Hillary Clinton is in excellent health. She is going about her paces. She has done more than 40 public events this year. She is about to embark on a major book tour. I wish I had her stamina." BURNETT: "Good point. David, thank you very much." (CNN's " Out Front," 5/13/14)

  • Brock Dismissed The Questions On Clinton's Health As A "Desperate Effort" To Discredit Her. BROCK: "And so, I don't know what Rove is talking about when he says that things were hidden. First of all, there was a full accounting at the time. The doctor said there was full recovery. They said there was no neurological damage. And so, this is just I think part of a desperate effort on the part of the Republicans who know that Hillary Clinton if she decided to run would be incredibly formidable as a candidate. And their party will be divided. And they just don't know what to do with her. They have no health care plan, no job plan." (CNN's " Out Front," 5/13/14)

Clinton's Assaults On Sanders' Healthcare Plan Have Been Proven "Misleading"

The Clinton Campaign Has Leveled "Misleading Attacks" On Sanders Health Care Plan. " The Clinton campaign has made a series of misleading attacks on Sen. Bernie Sanders' health care plan, saying he wants to 'dismantle Medicare' and private insurance and that he would turn over 'your and my health insurance to governors.' Not exactly." (Lori Robertson, "Clinton's Attack On Sanders' Health Plan," FactCheck, 1/15/16)

PolitiFact Called Chelsea's Hit On Sanders' Health Care Plan Mostly False, And "A Mischaracterization At Best." "Hitting the campaign trail on her mother's behalf, Chelsea Clinton attacked Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders' universal health care plan … Given that Sanders' proposed plan specifically calls health insurance an entitlement for all, we found that this is a mischaracterization at best." (Lauren Carroll, "Chelsea Clinton Mischaracterizes Bernie Sanders' Health Care Plan," PolitiFact , 1/14/16)

Clinton's Claims Of Unfair Attacks From Sanders Viewed As "Bizarre," Reflects Panic

The Washington Post's Perry Bacon Jr.: Clinton's Attacks Are "Bizarre." PERRY BACON JR.: "It's so bizarre, the interview show was so bizarre as well. Campaigns are about differences, they are about negatives. Chelsea Clinton, a few days ago, used to be so off the table in a lot of ways was attacking Sanders on health care, so I get what Joel was saying, that maybe Bernie sort of, you know, violated his campaign pledge, but who really expected a candidate for president never to criticize other candidates, I mean Hillary Clinton is criticizing every day. This is a very bizarre, I don't think voters are going to change their minds either based on the idea that a candidate attacked another candidate, they expect that." (NBC's Meet The Press, 1/14/16)

NBC's Chuck Todd: "I Think They [The Clinton Campaign] Realize[s] That He Has Got Credibility And Trust Advantages…" CHUCK TODD: "Ron, I think we both know what they are trying to do, I think they realize that he has got credibility and trust advantages over her, and they'd like to erode a that a little bit saying 'you know what' and anything they can do they think that makes them sound like 'you know what he really just is another politician,' I get what they are trying to do, is this enough?" (NBC's Meet The Press, 1/14/16)

National Journal's Ron Fournier: "I'm Open To Hillary Clinton Winning This, But Now I'm Beginning To Wonder, That Looked Like Panic To Me, She Is Panicking." RON FOUNIER: "Given where the party is on Wall Street, and the attacking on Wall Street ad, given where she is on authenticity and given what she has done with his record, distorting his record on healthcare, distorting the record, or at least going very negative on guns, you know having Hillary Clinton's campaign now attacking him on authenticity and negative ads is like Donald Trump coming out and criticizing someone's comb over, I mean it is preposterous, and the one thing he was right about was that this is a very fluid campaign until the very end, and I'm open to Hillary Clinton winning this, but now I'm beginning to wonder, that looked like panic to me, she is panicking." (NBC's Meet The Press, 1/14/16)

Click Here To Watch

Clinton Continues To Assert She Is Not Nervous About The Latest Polling, "But Her Campaigns Actions In The Past Two Weeks Speak Louder Than Words." "Clinton insists she's not nervous about her prospects despite tightening polls, but her campaign's actions in the past two week speak louder than her words. After going months without mentioning opponent Bernie Sanders by name, her campaign has abruptly turned the firepower they once reserved for Republicans." (Alex Seitz-Wald, "How 2016 Is Not Like 2008 For Hillary Clinton: It's Worse," MSNBC, 1/16/16)

Despite Her Claims That Clinton's Campaign Has "Always Anticipated A Tight Race" Her "Approach Has Undeniably Changed." "'As we have gained momentum, I think it's fair to say the Clinton campaign has become very nervous,' Sanders told NBC on Tuesday night. Clinton denies the developments are causing any unexpected heartburn, saying polls go up and they go down, and repeating her assertion that the campaign always anticipated a tight race. Yet her approach has undeniably changed." (Evan Halper And Chris Megerian, "As Democratic Polls Tighten, Clinton Adopts A More Aggressive Approach," Los Angeles Times, 1/14/16)

Clinton's Slipping Poll Numbers Have Pushed Her To Take A "Riskier" Approach To Confront Sanders, Who They Underestimated From The Start. "The slipping poll numbers have pushed Clinton to take a feistier - and riskier - approach to confronting rival Sanders, a democratic socialist once looked upon by Clinton operatives as a model adversary: too far outside the mainstream to pose a significant threat, but popular enough to give the appearance of a real race." (Evan Halper And Chris Megerian, "As Democratic Polls Tighten, Clinton Adopts A More Aggressive Approach," Los Angeles Times, 1/14/16)

  • Clinton's Campaign Has Reacted By Hosting "Contentious Conference Calls," Modifying Clinton's Stump Speeches, And Increasing Clinton's "Television Interviews." "In contentious conference calls, on the stump, and in her increasingly frequent television interviews, the candidate and her staff have opened a sustained multi-front assault on Sanders, aimed at everything from taxes to his TV ads." (Alex Seitz-Wald, "How 2016 Is Not Like 2008 For Hillary Clinton: It's Worse," MSNBC, 1/16/16)

The Way Clinton's Campaign Is Firing Back "Underscores Their Concern About Dangers Of A Protected Nomination Contest." "But they are firing back at Sanders on guns, health care and other things in a way that underscores their concern about the dangers of a protracted nomination contest." (Dan Balz, "Can Clinton Find The Spark To Fend Off The Challenge From Sanders?" The Washington Post , 1/16/16)

The Clinton Campaign's Reaction To Sanders "Only Amplified The Growing Sense That Her Campaign Was Suddenly In A Dogfight." "The Clinton campaign's outrage, real or feigned, was a gift to Mr. Sanders. His ad drew extra news attention as a result, perhaps the most valuable currency in this presidential cycle. And the caterwauling from Mrs. Clinton's headquarters only amplified the growing sense that her campaign was suddenly in a dogfight." (Nick Corasaniti, "Bernie Sanders's Vision Makes Hillary Clinton Camp See Red," The New York Times , 1/16/16)

Clinton Has Been Forced To Recalibrate Her Campaign Approach Amid Sanders Surge In The Polls. "But in re­cent weeks, amid Sanders's surge in state and na­tion­al polls, she has re­cal­ib­rated her ap­proach." (Michael Mishak, "For Clinton, 2016 Is Looking Too Much Like 2008," National Journal, 1/15/16)

Clinton's Campaign Is "Suddenly In Trouble," With The Latest Turn In Events Being Called "A Political Thriller." LESTER HOLT: "And on the stage below me here in Charleston, this Sunday, it is the Democrats' turn as they go head to head for the final time before the votes are cast in Iowa. I'll be moderating that debate on NBC along Andrea Mitchell. And with Hillary Clinton suddenly in trouble as her poll numbers drop, again Bernie Sanders, many are expecting a showdown. Let's get more from Kristen Welker." KRISTEN WELKER: "It is the last time the candidates face off before the critical Iowa caucuses, with the race in an unexpected dead heat. The latest Des Moines Register/Bloomberg poll showing 42% to 40% … But could it be deja vu when 2008 when she came in third behind upstart Barack Obama. today she argued she's evolved … A sleeper race, now a political thriller." (NBC's Nightly News, 1/15/16)

Click To Watch

"Clinton's Campaign Has Taken An Abrupt, Confused, Strategic Turn." "But after a promising start, Clinton's campaign has taken an abrupt, confused, strategic turn." (Jason Linkins and Zach Carter, "Hillary Clinton Is Botching Her Best Chance To Win," The Huffington Post, 1/15/16)

Out Of Reaction To The Latest Polling, Clinton Has Gone Back To Her 2008 Campaign Tactics. "With polls tightening in the Hawkeye State, Clinton is again emphasizing her experience and toughness and painting her surging opponent as a naïve politician who is overpromising sweeping change, especially on health care. On Tuesday, she reprised a main line of attack that she used against Barack Obama eight years ago. 'I wish we could elect a Democratic president who could wave his magic wand and say, 'We shall do this, and we shall do that,'' she said. 'That ain't the real world we're living in!'" (Michael Mishak, "For Clinton, 2016 Is Looking Too Much Like 2008," National Journal, 1/15/16)

For Clinton, This Is 2008 All Over Again

Clinton's Situation Is Making People Wonder If History Is Repeating Itself, "With Just A Different Progressive Insurgent Blindsiding The Former Secretary Of State's Titanic Campaign." "The situation is beginning to make people wonder if history is repeating itself, with just a different progressive insurgent blindsiding the former secretary of state's Titanic campaign." (Alex Seitz-Wald, "How 2016 Is Not Like 2008 For Hillary Clinton: It's Worse," MSNBC, 1/16/16)

Sanders Has "Closed The Gap In Iowa, The State Where Clinton's Campaign Fell Off The Tracks Eight Years Ago." "The Vermont senator continues to lead the polls in New Hampshire, and now he has closed the gap in Iowa, the state where Clinton's campaign fell off the tracks eight years ago. For Clinton, it wasn't supposed to be this way against a septuagenarian, self-identified democratic socialist who began his campaign with no national profile and no financial network." (Dan Balz, "Can Clinton Find The Spark To Fend Off The Challenge From Sanders?" The Washington Post , 1/16/16)

Clinton's "Second Sure-Thing Presidential Bid Looks Increasingly Imperiled In The Homestretch To Iowa…" "For Hillary Clinton, as a second sure-thing presidential bid looks increasingly imperiled in the homestretch to Iowa, 2016 is beginning to feel too much like 2008." (Alex Seitz-Wald, "How 2016 Is Not Like 2008 For Hillary Clinton: It's Worse," MSNBC, 1/16/16)

In Spite Of Her Campaign's Attempts To Avoid 2008 All Over Again, "Hillary Clinton Finds Herself In An Uncomfortably Familiar Position." "Despite aiming to avoid last campaign's mistakes, Hillary Clinton finds herself in an uncomfortably familiar position." (Michael Mishak, "For Clinton, 2016 Is Looking Too Much Like 2008," National Journal, 1/15/16)

Despite Her "Disciplined Campaign That Dominates In Fundraising," "Voters Are Unenthusiastic." "Clinton's change of fortune comes even as she has run a disciplined campaign that dominates in fundraising and reaching voters with expertly produced advertising. But voters are unenthusiastic." (Evan Halper And Chris Megerian, "As Democratic Polls Tighten, Clinton Adopts A More Aggressive Approach," Los Angeles Times, 1/14/16)

The Clinton Campaign's "Familiar Crassness" Ensures A Repeat Of 2008 In 2016. "And a familiar crassness has returned to a campaign that now appears to be bent on ensuring a repeat of 2008 in 2016." (Jason Linkins and Zach Carter, "Hillary Clinton Is Botching Her Best Chance To Win," The Huffington Post, 1/15/16)

Clinton's Situation Seems "Eerily Similar To 2008, When Clinton's First Presidential Bid Was Derailed By Barack Obama, Who Put Together A Coalition Very Similar To The One Sanders Is Tapping Into In Iowa." "In some ways, it does all seem eerily similar to 2008, when Clinton's first presidential bid was derailed by Barack Obama, who put together a coalition very similar to the one Sanders is tapping into now in Iowa." (Alex Seitz-Wald, "How 2016 Is Not Like 2008 For Hillary Clinton: It's Worse," MSNBC, 1/16/16)

MSNBC's Morning Joe's Mika Brzezinski Noted That Sanders Is Leading Among Key Groups That Caused Obama's Upset Victory In Iowa In 2008. MIKA BRZEZINSKI: "The poll found that Sanders leads Clinton by wide margins among three demographics largely responsible for President Obama's 2008 upset in Iowa." (MSNBC's Morning Joe, 1/14/16)

Click To Watch

Clinton "Has Not Touched Off The Kind Of Excitement Generated" By Sanders, Who Is "Engaging New Supporters The Way Barack Obama Did" In 2008. "She has not touched off the kind of excitement generated by Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, who is successfully engaging new supporters the way Barack Obama did when he bested then-front-runner Clinton in Iowa in 2008." (Evan Halper And Chris Megerian, "As Democratic Polls Tighten, Clinton Adopts A More Aggressive Approach," Los Angeles Times , 1/14/16)

And Democrats Are "Expressing A Sense Of Deja Vu From 2008"

On Capitol Hill And At State Party Headquarters, Democrats Are Worrying And "Expressing A Sense Of Deja Vu From 2008." "On Capitol Hill and in state party headquarters, some Democrats worry that a Sanders nomination could imperil candidates down the ballot in swing districts and states. Others are expressing a sense of deja vu from 2008, when Clinton's overwhelming edge cratered in the days before the Iowa caucuses." (Paul Kane, "Clinton's Lead Is Evaporating, And Anxious Democrats See 2008 All Over Again," The Washington Post , 1/14/16)

As The "Democrats Prepare To Face Off" Tonight, "Clintons Troubles … Have Worried Many Of Her Supporters…" "Clinton's troubles, which have worried many of her supporters, come just as the Democrats prepare to face off Sunday night in their final debate before the Feb. 1 Iowa caucuses and for the first time in 2016." (Alex Seitz-Wald, "How 2016 Is Not Like 2008 For Hillary Clinton: It's Worse," MSNBC, 1/16/16)

Clinton And Her Supporters Can't Forget Her Third-Place Finish In Iowa In 2008. "Clinton and her supporters still remember her disappointing third-place finish in Iowa in 2008 against Obama. Clinton's team has retooled her schedule to add stops in Iowa in the week ahead. The candidate has made near-daily television appearances where she has challenged Sanders' stances on health care and gun control." (Lisa Lerer And Ken Thomas, "As Primary Race Tightens, Democrats Brace For A Messy Winter," The Associated Press , 1/16/16)

A Former Clinton Operative Said "I'm Getting A Little PTSD On The Whole Iowa Thing…" "'I'm getting a little PTSD on the whole Iowa thing,' one former Clinton operative told Politico." (Alex Seitz-Wald, "How 2016 Is Not Like 2008 For Hillary Clinton: It's Worse," MSNBC, 1/16/16)

There Is A Lack Of Excitement For A Clinton Candidacy, Even Among Democrats Who Actually Support Her. "One thing that hampers Clinton at this point is the lack of excitement for her candidacy, even among Democrats who actually support her. For whatever reason, she has yet to build the kind of broader enthusiasm … But Democrats see her as still struggling to encapsulate her message into something that is crisp and compelling." (Dan Balz, "Can Clinton Find The Spark To Fend Off The Challenge From Sanders?" The Washington Post , 1/16/16)

In 2008 Clinton Was Derailed By Obama "Who Captured The Moment And The Imagination Of Voters." "Clinton was derailed eight years ago by a young and fresh politician who captured the moment and the imagination of voters. She has run into something quite different in this campaign, though no less unexpected. Sunday's debate will offer clues as to how well she is responding." (Dan Balz, "Can Clinton Find The Spark To Fend Off The Challenge From Sanders?" The Washington Post , 1/16/16)

Leading Democrats Are Getting Anxious About Hillary Clinton's Prospects For Winning The Party's Presidential Nomination. "Some leading Democrats are increasingly anxious about Hillary Clinton's prospects for winning the party's presidential nomination, warning that Sen. Bernie Sanders's growing strength in early battleground states and strong fundraising point to a campaign that could last well into the spring." (Paul Kane, "Clinton's Lead Is Evaporating, And Anxious Democrats See 2008 All Over Again," The Washington Post , 1/14/16)

Steve Israel (D-NY) Admitted "There's Definitely An Elevated Concern Expressed In The Cloakroom And Members-Only Elevators, And Other Places, About The Impact Of A Sanders Nomination On Congressional Candidates…" "'There's definitely an elevated concern expressed in the cloakroom and members-only elevators, and other places, about the impact of a Sanders nomination on congressional candidates,' Rep. Steve Israel (D-N.Y.) said. Israel, a former chairman of the Democrats' House campaign committee, said that a Sanders nomination 'increases the level of anxiety that many of our candidates have in swing districts, where a Hillary Clinton nomination erases that anxiety.'" (Paul Kane, "Clinton's Lead Is Evaporating, And Anxious Democrats See 2008 All Over Again," The Washington Post , 1/14/16)

Sensing Sander's Rise, Democrat Party Officials Have "Gone Out Of Their Way To Keep The Peace With Supporters Of Sanders…" " Sensing the tightening race, some state party officials have gone out of their way to keep the peace with supporters of Sanders, hoping to tap their energy and keep them activated for the general election campaign." (Paul Kane, "Clinton's Lead Is Evaporating, And Anxious Democrats See 2008 All Over Again," The Washington Post , 1/14/16)


Previous post

Clinton's Campaign Crackup: Sunday Show Edition

Next post

Team Clinton's Double Standard
Republican National Committee

Connect With Us

Republican National Committee
Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel
News & Videos
  • 310 First Street SE, Washington, DC 20003
  • 202-863-8500

By providing your phone number, you are consenting to receive calls and SMS/MMS msgs, including autodialed and automated calls and texts, to that number from the Republican National Committee. Msg&data rates may apply. Terms & conditions/privacy policy apply 80810-info.com.

Paid for by the Republican National Committee. Not Authorized By Any Candidate Or Candidate's Committee. www.gop.com

By providing your phone number, you are consenting to receive calls and SMS/MMS msgs, including autodialed and automated calls and texts, to that number from the Republican National Committee. Msg&data rates may apply. Terms & conditions/privacy policy apply 80810-info.com.

Paid for by the Republican National Committee.
Not Authorized By Any Candidate Or Candidate's Committee. www.gop.com