Despite predicting big victory in Nevada just weeks ago, the Hillary Clinton campaign had to scramble at the last minute to hold off a self-described socialist by just a few percentage points.
That doesn’t indicate momentum among a candidate long touted as a frontrunner, and the Democrat establishment is still on pins and needles over her struggling candidacy. Here’s three takeaways from Nevada that spell trouble for Hillary Clinton going forward:
1. Democrat Turnout Is Falling
Despite both campaigns pouring millions into the state and feverishly trying to get voters to the polls in the last week before the caucus, 1/3 fewer Democrats turned out in Nevada in 2016 than they did in 2008.
That kind of dramatic dip exposes just how unexcited Democrats are for Hillary Clinton (and Bernie Sanders, for that matter) to be their nominee, and shows the Clinton name doesn’t have the pull it once did.
The GOP, meanwhile, is shattering voter turnout records all of our primaries and caucuses months ahead of the general election, showing a groundswell of enthusiasm to put a Republican back in the White House.
2. She Couldn't Win the Hispanic Vote
Hillary Clinton’s Hispanic firewall is a myth. Sanders won Hispanic voters 53-45, a poor outcome for the Clinton camp after they pandered hard on immigration in the days leading up to the caucus. Her message is failing to resonate with a vital constituency.
New polling shows that Hispanic voters under 30 broke sharply for Sanders, and her failure to win the youth vote here points to bigger problems picking up young voters.
Hillary Clinton’s endless flip-flopping and doubletalk on immigration is only repelling voters she desperately needs to put Bernie Sanders away. The Clinton camp is desperately trying to spin her poor performance with Hispanics but voters aren’t buying it.
3. Her Dishonesty and Untrustworthiness Problems Are Not Going Away
This tweet says it all:
Tom Brokaw on NV Caucus: Very ominous signs for HRC here...honest & trustworthy numbers 84% for Sanders 11% for Hillary. #Dems— Luke Russert (@LukeRussert) February 20, 2016
Brand new polling from Gallup shows the most popular words that comes to mind when voters hear “Hillary Clinton” are “dishonest / Liar / Don’t trust her / poor character.”
Voters are looking for a candidate who they know they can trust but Hillary Clinton is not it. The endless drip of bad news surrounding Hillary Clinton’s secret email server is only reaffirming the Clinton culture of cover-up and deceit.
If Democrats in Nevada are representative of the whole country, her dishonesty gap is real and puts her at a major disadvantage against any Republican if she makes it to the general election.
Elections Hillary Clinton