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Under Water Ratings And An Underwhelmed Base Spells Trouble For Obama

RNC Communications - November 10, 2011

“A Majority Of Voters In The Three Most-Important Swing States Of Florida, Ohio And Pennsylvania Disapprove Of The Job President Barack Obama Is Doing And Most Believe He Does Not Deserve Re-Election.” (Marc Caputo, “Swing State Poll Redux: Cain, Romney Lead GOP. Romney More Trusted, Better V. Obama,” The Miami Herald, 11/10/11)

Florida

“Florida: Voters Disapprove Of Obama's Job Performance By 52 - 41 Percent Split. By A 51 - 43 Percent Spread, They Say He Does Not Deserve Reelection.” (Marc Caputo, “Swing State Poll Redux: Cain, Romney Lead GOP. Romney More Trusted, Better V. Obama,” The Miami Herald, 11/10/11)

  • 51 Percent Of Florida Independents Disapprove Of Obama’s Job Performance. (Quinnipiac Polls, 1185 V, MoE 2.9%, 10/31-11/7/11)
  • 51 Percent Of Florida Independents Think Obama Does Not Deserve Reelection. (Quinnipiac Polls, 1185 V, MoE 2.9%, 10/31-11/7/11)

51 Percent Of Florida Republicans Are More Enthusiastic About The 2012 Election Than Normal, Only 29 Percent Of Florida Democrats Are More Enthusiastic. (Quinnipiac Polls, 1185 V, MoE 2.9%, 10/31-11/7/11)

83 Percent Of Floridians Are Dissatisfied With The Way Things Are Going In The Country. (Quinnipiac Polls, 1185 V, MoE 2.9%, 10/31-11/7/11)

Pollster Peter Brown: "Florida is shaping up to be the closest swing state again in 2012 and it's a fair bet that a year from now, it will be the toughest of the Big Three for Obama to carry." (Marc Caputo, “Swing State Poll Redux: Cain, Romney Lead GOP. Romney More Trusted, Better V. Obama,” The Miami Herald, 11/10/11)

Pennsylvania

“Pennsylvania: Voters Disapprove Of Obama's Job Performance By A 52 - 44 Percent Split And Say By A 50 - 46 Margin That He Does Not Deserve Reelection.” (Marc Caputo, “Swing State Poll Redux: Cain, Romney Lead GOP. Romney More Trusted, Better V. Obama,” The Miami Herald, 11/10/11)

  • 54 Percent Of Pennsylvania Independents Disapprove Of Obama’s Job Performance, Only 40 Percent Approve. (Quinnipiac Polls, 1436 V, MoE 2.6%, 10/31-11/7/11)
  • 50 Percent Of Pennsylvania Independents Think Obama Does Not Deserve Reelection. ((Quinnipiac Polls, 1436 V, MoE 2.6%, 10/31-11/7/11)

38 Percent Of Pennsylvania Republicans Are More Enthusiastic About The 2012 Election Than Normal, Only 16 Percent Of Pennsylvania Democrats Are More Enthusiastic. (Quinnipiac Polls, 1436 V, MoE 2.6%, 10/31-11/7/11)

80 Percent Of Pennsylvanians Are Dissatisfied With The Way Things Are Going In The Country. (Quinnipiac Polls, 1436 V, MoE 2.6%, 10/31-11/7/11)

Ohio

“Ohio: Voters Disapprove Of Obama's Job Performance By A 50 - 44 Percent Split, With 46 Percent He Saying He Should Be Re-Elected And 48 Percent Saying He Should.” (Marc Caputo, “Swing State Poll Redux: Cain, Romney Lead GOP. Romney More Trusted, Better V. Obama,” The Miami Herald, 11/10/11)

  • 59 Percent Of Ohio Independents Disapprove Of Obama’s Job Performance, Only 37 Percent Approve. (Quinnipiac Polls, 1312 V, MoE 2.7%, 10/31-11/7/11)
  • 54 Percent Of Ohio Independents Think Obama Does Not Deserve Reelection. (Quinnipiac Polls, 1312 V, MoE 2.7%, 10/31-11/7/11)

41 Percent Of Ohio Republicans Are More Enthusiastic About The 2012 Election Than Normal, Only 22 Percent Of Ohio Democrats Are More Enthusiastic. (Quinnipiac Polls, 1312 V, MoE 2.7%, 10/31-11/7/11)

78 Percent Of Ohio Are Dissatisfied With The Way Things Are Going In The Country. (Quinnipiac Polls, 1312 V, MoE 2.7%, 10/31-11/7/11)

EVEN IN SOME OF THE BLUEST STATES, OBAMA IS UNDER WATER

Maine

“Barack Obama's Approval Numbers Are Under Water Even In Maine, Where He Won By An 18 Point Margin In 2008.” (Tom Jensen, “Obama Under Water In Maine,” Public Policy Polling, 11/4/11)

  • “Now 47% Of Voters There Think He's Doing A Good Job To 48% Who Disapprove.” (Tom Jensen, “Obama Under Water In Maine,” Public Policy Polling, 11/4/11)
  • 49 Percent Of Maine Independents Disapprove Of Obama. “He's also slightly under water with independents at 46/49.” (Tom Jensen, “Obama Under Water In Maine,” Public Policy Polling, 11/4/11)

Maine Is The Eighth State Obama Carried By Over 9 Points Where He Is Now Under Water. “Maine makes 8 states PPP has polled on in the last few months that Obama won by at least 9 points in 2008 where he now has negative approval numbers: Iowa, Nevada, Wisconsin, Colorado, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, and now Maine.” (Tom Jensen, “Obama Under Water In Maine,” Public Policy Polling, 11/4/11)

  • “It Speaks To The Struggles He's Having Even In States That Weren't Exactly In The Toss Up Category The Last Time Around.” (Tom Jensen, “Obama Under Water In Maine,” Public Policy Polling, 11/4/11)

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